Dr Vidhu Sekhar P, Assistant Professor, National Institute of Fashion Technology, Daman Campus
Dr Bhaskar Banerjee, Associate Professor, National Institute of Fashion Technology, Gandhinagar Campus
For any textile apparel trade professional, few things are more unsettling than watching years of market-building effort collapse under the weight of sudden policy changes from a key trading partner. Indian textile exporters, with annual shipments of nearly $44 billion, have experienced this disruption repeatedly as Washington oscillates between protectionist tariffs, trade disputes and an increasingly inward-looking economic agenda.
But something changed on July 24, 2025. India and the United Kingdom signed a landmark trade deal — the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement, or CETA — that is now weeks away from becoming reality. For the men and women who run India’s mills, weaving units and garment factories, this moment carries a significance that goes well beyond paperwork and tariff schedules. For them, it is the opening of a door that should have been opened long ago. For decades, the United States has been the single largest destination for Indian garments. The logic was simple, a wealthy, fashion-conscious consumer base with an insatiable appetite for affordable apparel. Indian exporters built supply chains, invested in compliance, adopted American sizing standards and, crucially, oriented their entire business calculus around market access to a country that has never extended them preferential trade terms.
THE US UPPER HAND
The US never signed a free trade agreement with India. Indian textiles and apparel faced average tariff walls of 12–32% in the American market, competing on an uneven field with nations that enjoyed preferential access. Bangladesh, a country that built its entire economy on garment exports, paid zero or near-zero duties in the European Union while Indian exporters paid full rates. Vietnam signed a comprehensive FTA with the EU. Cambodia, Myanmar, Sri Lanka — all had preferential access to major markets that India did not. Then came the era of tariff turbulence. The US-China trade war began reshaping global supply chains, and India seemed perfectly placed to benefit. There was genuine optimism. But that optimism was tested repeatedly — by tariff threats aimed at Indian goods, by the removal of GSP benefits that Indian exporters had long relied on, and by a Washington that increasingly views trade not as a partnership but as a pressure tool. The hard lesson from all of this is straightforward: depending on American political goodwill as the foundation of an export strategy is not really a strategy at all. It is wishful thinking.
THE UK OPPORTUNITY
The United Kingdom, post-Brexit, is a nation actively rebuilding its trade architecture. It needs partners. It needs supply chains. It needs a deal that signals to the world — and to its own industry — that it can strike comprehensive agreements independent of the European bloc. India, with its 1.4 billion people, its vast manufacturing base and its democratic credentials, is the most consequential FTA partner the UK could have chosen. The commercial implications of CETA for India’s textile and apparel sector are substantial. With 99% of Indian exports gaining zero-duty access to the UK — encompassing textiles, garments, footwear, gems and jewellery — and the agreement covering the full value of bilateral trade, the structural barriers that have long constrained Indian competitiveness in the British market are effectively removed. The scale of the opportunity becomes evident when one considers that the UK apparel retail market exceeds £60 billion annually, yet India commands less than 5% of it. The room to grow is considerable by any measure. This mutual necessity is the foundation of CETA’s durability. Unlike the US relationship, which is mediated by geopolitical mood swings and domestic political theatre, the India-UK trade relationship is now anchored in a legally binding, domestically ratified framework. The UK Parliament vetted the agreement in March 2026. India moves through Cabinet approval. These are institutional processes unlike US tweets.
INDIA VS. THE COMPETITION — A TURNING POINT
To appreciate the significance of zero-duty access, one must understand how severely the absence of preferential access has handicapped Indian textiles in the UK market until now. Indian textiles — known globally for their craftsmanship, quality differentiation, fabric diversity and supply chain depth — were being undercut not because of inferior product, but because of an inferior tariff position. CETA eliminates that disadvantage at a stroke. Indian exporters can now compete in the UK on merit, not despite handicap. A PARADIGM SHIFT IN STRATEGIC THINKING What makes this moment truly significant is not just the tariff reduction — it is the signal it sends about India’s approach to global trade. Under the strategic vision championed by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal, India has refused to be reactive. While other nations scrambled to accommodate American demands or absorbed retaliatory measures with quiet resignation, India pursued its own trade agenda with disciplined, sequenced negotiation. The message to the textile sector is clear. No need to wait for the US to decide our fate. Build markets where rules are stable, partners are committed, and agreements are enforceable. The UK — a $3.1 trillion economy, a sophisticated consumer market, a country that shares with India the English language, legal traditions, a vast diaspora connection and a post-colonial relationship being rewritten on equal terms — is precisely such a partner.
THE GLOBAL WAR ON TRADE — AND INDIA’S ANSWER
Let us be direct about the global context. The world is witnessing what economists are carefully calling “geoeconomic fragmentation” — and what the rest of us recognise as a trade war with no clear rules, no consistent referee and no obvious end. The US has imposed tariffs on allies and adversaries alike. China is being systematically decoupled from Western supply chains. Supply disruptions from West Asian conflict have sent freight costs soaring and container availability collapsing. In this environment, India’s textile sector — which depends on global logistics, raw material imports and export market stability — cannot afford to put all its thread on one spool. The India-UK CETA is India’s answer to this fragmentation. It is a statement that bilateral rules-based trade, anchored in shared legal frameworks and mutual economic interest, is more resilient than the transactional, tariff-as-weapon approach that is corroding the global trading system. Every Indian garment that enters a British high street under zero duty is a small act of defiance against the chaos — and a demonstration that India builds, rather than burns, the architecture of international commerce.
WHAT THE INDUSTRY MUST DO NOW
Opportunity, of course, does not convert itself. The India-UK FTA creates a window — it does not guarantee revenue. The textile and apparel sector must now act with the same urgency that the government has shown in negotiating the deal. This means investing in UK market intelligence, building retailer relationships, upgrading to UK sustainability and compliance standards, leveraging the Indian diaspora in Britain as both a consumer base and a business bridge, and — critically — moving up the value chain from commodity yarn and grey fabric toward branded, designed, finished products. The DCC provision — which exempts Indian professionals working in the UK from duplicating social security contributions — is an underappreciated gift to the sector. Indian design talent, merchandising professionals, and supply chain managers can now be stationed in the UK without the punishing double-levy cost. This enables the kind of on-the-ground market presence that transforms transactional exports into enduring commercial relationships.
THE LARGER VISION — INDIA AS THE WORLD’S TEXTILE ATELIER
India has every natural advantage to be the world’s pre-eminent textile manufacturing nation. It grows cotton. It spins silk. It weaves traditions that are thousands of years old. It has the workforce, the design heritage and — increasingly — the technological capability to compete at every point on the value chain from raw fibre to runway fashion. What has held India back is not capability but access — access to markets on fair terms, access to the predictability that serious investment requires. The India-UK CETA, combined with ongoing negotiations with the EU and a portfolio of other FTAs, is assembling that access systematically. This is the structural foundation of the $100 billion textile export target that India has set for itself. In a world where America unpredictably rewrites the rules, where China floods markets with subsidised synthetic fibre, and where geopolitical alliances shift faster than supply chains can adapt — India’s textile sector needs anchors. The UK, through CETA, has just become one of the most important.
The agreement is expected to enter force from the second week of May 2026. For Indian textile exporters, that date is not an administrative milestone. It is the beginning of a new commercial era — one built not on the charity of preferential access or the mercy of a trading partner’s political mood, but on the solid ground of a negotiated, ratified, enforceable agreement between two sovereign equals.
